Superflex dynasty trade analyzer12/7/2023 Trade 1: Gave 1.04 for 2.06, 4.06, and a 2020 1st.īy WORP metrics, this was a 31% win on value. We were aggressive in the trade market to set the trade down price and struck quickly. We assumed Saquon Barkley and Patrick Mahomes were likely to be gone before we picked and felt there was a large tier of players after them. We drew 1.04 in the random selection of picks. We set out to exploit this uncertainty by trading down to collect a deep collection of players and picks combined with drafting high pedigree players with low term stability. With the draft taking place in February, more than six months before the 2019 season, there are a lot of unknowns. Recent drafts I have seen show rookie picks are falling rounds below their historical value. While the rookie class seems weak at the top, there are running backs we like beyond the top 5 at the position. The strategy called for depth at running back and being overweight in rookie picks. We had a number of targets in addition to strength at quarterback and wide receiver, including a stable TE1, with targets of Hunter Henry, David Njoku, and Evan Engram. Our plan was 3 or 4 WRs total in a 36 man roster. We wanted to implement some of the findings of the book and be aggressive with them. With the format only requiring one wide receiver, we were comfortable with a small wide receiver corps. Based on the build with our first two quarterbacks, we would choose between an upside or a stable veteran at QB3. We wanted to be strong, with two stable options in the first 40 picks and a quality third option. As a result, one of the cheapest ways to address the position is in a startup draft. If you need to address the position, it is costly in rookie drafts and the trade market. In Superflex leagues, my research suggests do not be behind at the position. There were three basic principles we applied going into the draft: Rookie pick placeholders are in the draft with a rookie draft occurring after the NFL Draft. The total roster is 36 players deep with starting lineups of start 1QB/1RB/1WR/1TE/1SF/5 flex. The remainder of the scoring is stock PPR. The format is Superflex with 4PT passing TDs and 1.75 PPR scoring for TE. We thought it would be a good opportunity to employ some of the principles from The Analytics of Dynasty in the startup to build a strong core. I joined a startup with my friend Tim Torch that is ongoing this week.
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